Hawaii tourism faces modest 2026 growth
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Hawaii's tourism industry is expected to experience modest growth in 2026, driven by steady gains from US mainland travelers but offset by declining international demand and rising costs. Neighbor island airports are expected to outperform Honolulu, with Kahului Airport projected to be the state's fastest-growing airport.
Hawaii's visitor industry is expected to see modest growth in 2026, with steady gains from US mainland travelers offset by declining international demand and rising costs. Visitor arrivals are forecast to grow slightly year over year, while spending is expected to rise faster due to higher prices. Total seat capacity to Hawaii is projected to rise 4.8% through October, driven by domestic routes, which are up 7.1%. Neighbor island airports are expected to outperform Honolulu, with Kahului Airport projected to be the state's fastest-growing airport. The US mainland remains Hawaii's strongest source market, with arrivals forecast to rise 0.9% to 5.05 million this year. State leaders are moving ahead with a tourism recovery campaign following recent storms, with a $2 million marketing recovery plan approved to restore traveler confidence.
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