London local elections 2026: Who will win?

London is set to vote in local elections on May 7, which could be the most significant since 1964, with Labour's grip on the capital potentially loosening. The Greens and Reform UK are eyeing opportunities to make gains, while Labour and the Conservatives face challenges due to leadership issues and voter dissatisfaction.
London's 32 boroughs are voting in local elections on May 7, potentially marking a significant shift in the city's politics. Labour, which has held the most councils since 1964, may lose hundreds of seats due to voter discontent over issues like housing affordability, council taxes, and crime. The Greens are poised to make historic gains, while Reform UK may also make headway, particularly in south east London. Polling suggests that Londoners are more aware of the elections than national averages, indicating a potentially high turnout. A YouGov poll projects that Labour could lose long-held councils to the Greens, with half of London's councils rated as 'very close' or 'super close'. The results could have implications for the national political landscape, with Labour facing challenges due to leadership issues and voter dissatisfaction with the government's handling of economic challenges.
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