China’s growth seen rebounding in early 2026 despite war in Iran
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China's growth is expected to rebound in the first quarter of 2026, with a 4.8% expansion in GDP, despite the ongoing war in Iran. The country's economy has been resilient due to its energy security measures and the boom in artificial intelligence investment.
China's economy likely rebounded in the first quarter of 2026. GDP is expected to have expanded 4.8% from a year ago. The US-Israel war against Iran had a limited impact on China's activities. The goods trade surplus shrank almost 5% in the first quarter due to a jump in high-tech product imports. Strong global demand for AI products is helping Chinese companies. Industrial output is forecast to grow 5.3% in March, while retail sales are expected to rise 2.4%.
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