Real Estate

China’s Property Crisis Is Starting to Look a Lot Like Japan’s Lost Decade

Asia / China3 views1 min
China’s Property Crisis Is Starting to Look a Lot Like Japan’s Lost Decade

China's property sector is experiencing a prolonged correction, with prices softening and investment slowing, drawing comparisons to Japan's post-bubble stagnation of the 1990s. The crisis has significant implications for global demand, commodity markets, and the broader architecture of Asian growth.

China's property market is in its sixth year of adjustment, with prices rolling over and construction slowing. The sector accounts for roughly one-third of China's economic demand. The crisis began quietly in 2018 and intensified after Beijing's 'three red lines' policy in 2020. The collapse of China Evergrande Group in 2021 made the situation impossible to ignore. Real estate and related activities have been estimated to account for roughly one-third of China's economic demand. The concentration of household wealth in housing has amplified the shock. As prices soften and investment slows, the impact is transmitted through household balance sheets, local government finances, and developer funding structures.

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