For Iran, Flexing Control Over Hormuz Is a New Deterrent
Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz has become a significant deterrent against its adversaries, causing global economic pain and upending US and Israeli war planning. The country's geography and remaining military capabilities have given it leverage in potential future conflicts.
Iran has emerged from the recent conflict with a significant deterrent: control over the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway through which 20% of the world's oil supply flows. The US and Israel launched a war against Iran, damaging its leadership structure, naval vessels, and missile production facilities, but failing to restrict its ability to control the strait. Iran retained around 40% of its attack drones and 60% of its missile launchers, enough to hold shipping hostage. The US responded with a naval blockade, forcing cargo ships into Iranian ports, which has largely halted seaborne trade, accounting for 90% of Iran's economic output. The dispute has highlighted Iran's geographical advantage and its potential to disrupt global trade in future conflicts. The situation remains precarious, with negotiations to end the war ongoing.
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