For Putin, the war in Iran changed everything
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The war in Iran has changed the dynamics of the conflict in Ukraine, with President Vladimir Putin now less likely to negotiate a peace deal. The surge in oil prices and Western division have eased the pressure on Putin to come to terms, and he may now prioritize the war effort over economic concerns.
President Vladimir Putin's priorities shifted in February, with signs he might negotiate with Ukraine. However, the war in Iran changed everything, with oil prices surging and Western division easing pressure on Putin. The US lifted sanctions on Russian oil, and demand for Russian fertilizer increased. Putin now sees an advantage in a protracted conflict with Iran, which could erode Trump's political standing and weaken the Republican Party. The Kremlin believes a negotiated peace with Ukraine is less likely now. Putin's focus on the war effort may continue, despite initial signs of a potential shift in his priorities.
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