IMF Cuts Growth Outlook, Warns Of Potential Global Recession If Iran War Worsens

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The International Monetary Fund has cut its 2026 global growth outlook due to the conflict in the Middle East, warning of a potential global recession if the situation worsens. The global economy is now expected to grow by 3.1 percent this year, down from 3.3 percent forecast in January.
The International Monetary Fund has cut its global growth projection for 2026. The global economy is expected to grow by 3.1 percent this year, down from 3.3 percent forecast in January. The conflict in the Middle East has led to higher energy prices and sparked a broader conflict in the region. The IMF warns of a potential major energy crisis and uneven impact on vulnerable economies. The fund expects higher inflation this year at 4.4 percent. Global growth could slow to 2.5 percent or even around 2.0 percent in more adverse scenarios.
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