Ready For The Heat? World Meteorological Organisation Predicts El Nino Conditions Likely To Emerge By May-July 2026
The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) predicts El Niño conditions are likely to emerge by May-July 2026, with a 'nearly global dominance of above-normal land surface temperatures' expected over the next three months. El Niño events typically have a warming effect on global climate patterns and can amplify extreme weather events such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall.
The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has indicated a likely return of El Niño conditions as early as May-July 2026. The WMO's latest Global Seasonal Climate Update report forecasted above-normal land surface temperatures globally over the next three months. Climate models are strongly aligned, with high confidence in the onset of El Niño, followed by further intensification in the months that follow. El Niño events typically have a warming effect on global climate patterns and can amplify associated impacts due to human-induced climate change. The WMO noted that 2024 became the hottest year on record due to the combined impact of the 2023-2024 El Niño and climate change. For May-June-July 2026, land surface temperatures are expected to be above normal nearly everywhere, with strong regional variability in rainfall predictions.
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