Military & Defense

Russia Will Never Agree to Peace in Ukraine

Europe / Russia0 views1 min
Russia Will Never Agree to Peace in Ukraine

Vladimir Putin's regime requires perpetual war in Ukraine for its survival, making a ceasefire or peace deal destabilizing for the Kremlin. This understanding necessitates a fundamental shift in NATO strategy and Western support for Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin's regime structurally requires perpetual war in Ukraine. Since 2022, Putin has engineered a domestic political system where war is a necessity for regime survival. A ceasefire, even on terms favorable to Moscow, would destabilize the Putin regime more than continued war. Putin has restructured Russia into a 'Fortress Russia' where perpetual conflict is a prerequisite for stability. The conflict in Ukraine has ended the era of rising prosperity and elite arbitration that maintained Putin's rule. Putin has fragmented Russia's elites to prevent them from coordinating against him, a lesson learned from Tsar Nicholas II's experience in World War I.

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