Stock Markets Rally as if the Iran War is Already Over. Really?
US stock markets have rallied since a ceasefire in the US-Iran conflict, with the S&P 500 up 4% and Nasdaq 100 up 6%. However, crude oil prices and Treasury bond yields remain elevated, indicating ongoing inflation risks.
The US stock market has surged after a ceasefire in the US-Iran conflict. The S&P 500 is up 4% and the Nasdaq 100 is up 6% since the conflict began. Initially, crude oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and gold prices reacted to the war by surging, indicating inflation fears. Although these indicators have moderated, they remain elevated. Crude oil prices are up nearly 30% since the US struck Iran. The Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts have also been put on hold. The ongoing inflation risks and absence of rate cuts may pose a risk to the stock market rally.
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