The fate of the Iran war lies in the Strait of Hormuz
The Iranian regime appears set to survive the current conflict with the US, and its control of the Strait of Hormuz will be a key factor in determining the strategic balance in the Middle East. The US and Israel have demonstrated military superiority, but Iran's nuclear and missile programs remain intact, and its proxy networks across the region are still operational.
The Iranian regime is likely to survive the current conflict with the US. The US and Israel have superior conventional military power, but Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz is crucial. Iran's nuclear program is still intact, with access to enriched uranium. Its ballistic missile program has been damaged but not destroyed. Iran's proxy networks in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq are still operational. The outcome of the conflict will depend on whether Iran can maintain control of the Strait of Hormuz.
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