The war in Iran didn’t end; it became something new
The US and Iran are at a crossroads, with possibilities ranging from a full peace agreement to a return to all-out war, but the current status quo may continue. The conflict has evolved, with Iran now having leverage over the Strait of Hormuz.
The US and Iran are uncertain about their next steps, with President Donald Trump stating that Iran has agreed to US conditions, while Iran has declared the Strait of Hormuz closed and fired on ships. The current status quo, neither peace nor war, may continue as both sides prefer it over a humiliating compromise. The US has incentive to end the war but is unsure how, while Iran has the means to end it but is uncertain about its willingness. The conflict has shifted from the US-Israeli bombing campaign to a competition between the US and Iran, with Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz being a key factor. The US is considering a deal with Iran, focusing on its nuclear program and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's enrichment program has become a significant issue, and the US-Israeli bombing campaign has given Iran leverage to make concessions on its nuclear program.
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