What is really happening in northern Nigeria
Recent attacks in northern Nigeria have been blamed on a US-led conspiracy, but the reality is an insurgency that has adapted and grown. The violence is part of a wider regional disorder across the Lake Chad basin and Sahel, fueled by poverty, educational exclusion, and weak governance.
Attacks in northern Nigeria have increased in frequency and intensity, shattering the illusion that the region's insurgency has receded. Many Nigerians have turned to conspiracy theories, blaming US involvement, despite a lack of evidence. In reality, the insurgency has adapted, with the ISIL affiliate in West Africa Province (ISWAP) becoming more organized and entrenched. ISWAP has expanded its presence in the Lake Chad basin and Sambisa Forest, controlling trade and supply routes. The violence is fueled by deeper domestic vulnerabilities, including chronic poverty, educational exclusion, and weak local governance. The insurgency's adaptability and regional disorder demand a serious analysis of the situation.
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