Why Russia Is Losing the Sahel
Russia's expansion into the Sahel region is losing momentum due to its own limitations and mounting competition from other outside states. Despite initial gains, Moscow's initiatives have been marked by unfulfilled promises, human rights abuses, and poor results, serving as a cautionary tale for other African states.
Russia's presence in the Sahel region is stalling. Since 2020, Russia has been expanding its influence, seizing opportunities from Paris and Washington. However, its expansion is now facing challenges. Russia's national security elites have profited from resources-for-security deals with embattled leaders. Yet, the early appeal of those offerings has started to fade. Russia confronts shortcomings in its capacity and the complexities of the environment. Moscow's staying power is far from exhausted, but its initiatives have been marked by unfulfilled promises and poor results.
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